I mentioned in a previous blog that on December 30th i was down $180,000 playing two tables of $50/$100. The games were against Emily86 on Betfair, and they play much bigger then a regular 50/100 game. I've included my percentage chance of winning the hand when most of the money went in, and included all the pots over $15,000 we played on the table i was losing the most!
A nice way to get me steaming at the beginning - Ben 80%
Haha make a good read and still lose tilt - Ben 78%
Finally one holds up - Ben 81%
Now i think all is going to go well - Ben 100%
Start of sick run - Ben 65%
Unreal $40,000 pot. I was so tilted after this - Ben 71% (i thought much bigger)
Finally i get it in with the worst hand and lose obviously - Emily 64%
Flop nuts and lose - Ben 65%
Nuts again couldn't lose - Ben 100%
Catching Bare Ace - Ben 100%
Really sick $68,000 pot that pair of fives win. I really shouldn't be gambling here. Emily 57%
Tilted i get all in preflop next hand and get lucky one time - Emily 56%
Hmmm Emily's bluffing range is huge, don't like this one so much - Emily 100%
This sums it up - Ben 55%
Coin flip, Emily wins again - Emily 52%
Facing $113,000 stack, the comeback begins - Ben 80%
We like these odds - Ben 97%
Nice turn - Ben 82%
$37,000 pot. Think i may have stopped if my call was wrong - Ben 100%
$80,000 pot. I wanted to make this pot big preflop as i knew if i hit a set i was likely to get a double up. One time. Ben - 73%
Overall that table i lost $35,000. I won about the same on the second table. Too many hands, so i'll just post the biggest three.
One pair wins $66,000. Ben 70%
Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz $54,000 lost. Ben 80%
My play on the turn is fishy here. Ben 67.5%
I think that particular day ending even felt like winning a million!
Rake Challenge Leaderboard
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Still two and half months to go to catch up! If you signed up through me and think you should have appeared on the leaderboard, post in the messages...
14 comments:
Hi ben,
on the last hand you say the turn is fishy play. Looks alright to me. In the games i play i think i am probably in front there and if behind i prob have outs to the flush, basically i'm probably not dead if i am behind.
Why do you think it is fishy?
Cheers
Ahhh i meant the flop. TYPO
Flop play is bad because i only have four outs to the nuts and can be dominated by bigger straight draws. Once i hit especially with the flush draw coming i had to go with it!
thanks.
So what would be your ideal line there generally? Just dump it or flat call the flop bet?
I tend to call playing HU
I think flat calling is fine given the stack sizes, and the fact that if i hit i am likely to get paid off.....
Talk about volatility!
I really enjoyed the hands. Some really sick action which is always good to see.
I'm coming for the leaderboard oh yeaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh . NumptyMug
www.betfairsixinnocent.com
Can you tell us more about the STT scandal at Betfair?
Jimbo
There was no scandal, Betfair PR for low STT turnover, i'm sure ben will explain.
Happy New Year
gl for 2008
Paul
Rumours have it that STTs were overpaying... maybe it was just a special promotion ;-)
At 2:40 AM, Anonymous said…
I'm coming for the leaderboard oh yeaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh . NumptyMug
Yea sure you are, shame you are banned thief.
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